Why the ADC’s 2027 Confidence Shouldn’t Be Underestimated

The African Democratic Congress’ recent claim that it can win the 2027 general elections without a single sitting governor may sound overly ambitious to some, but it reflects a growing political reality that established parties can no longer ignore. Senator Nazif Gamawa, the party’s National Vice Chairman, argues that the lack of incumbency advantages is not a setback—and he might have a point.

Nigeria’s political landscape is shifting. Voters are increasingly disillusioned with dominant parties, frustrated by recycled leadership and governance failures. In that environment, a party like the ADC—positioning itself as an accessible, reform-driven alternative—could find unexpected momentum. Gamawa’s reference to former President Muhammadu Buhari’s historic win against an incumbent president serves as a reminder that political upsets are not only possible but part of our democratic history.

The ADC’s pitch is simple: affordability, openness and a promise to give aspiring leaders a fair shot. The party insists that internal democracy still means something, unlike platforms where nomination forms cost far more than most qualified young Nigerians can afford. This approach resonates with citizens seeking an escape from the tight grip of political elites.

Gamawa’s critique of voter apathy is also valid. Nigeria’s elections continue to suffer from low turnout, allowing unrepresentative leaders to retain power. His call for citizens to obtain their Permanent Voter Cards is a reminder that any quest for change—whether through the ADC or any party—depends heavily on voter participation.

Of course, optimism alone does not translate into electoral victory. The ADC still lacks the national structure, financial muscle and state-level machinery that traditionally drive election outcomes. But dismissing the party outright would be a mistake. As the political class grows more fragmented and younger voters become more assertive, 2027 could be a year when unconventional platforms gain ground.

The ADC’s confidence may appear bold, but in a political climate increasingly defined by public frustration and the search for fresh options, boldness might be exactly what resonates.